Multidimensional analysis and forecasting the relationship between indicators of industrial-technological development and the level of economic security

Olha Ilyash (), Liubov Smoliar, Ruslan Lupak, Nataliia Duliaba, Iryna Dzhadan, Maryana Kohut and Denys Radov
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Olha Ilyash: National Technical University of Ukraine the “Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute”
Liubov Smoliar: National Technical University of Ukraine the “Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute”
Ruslan Lupak: Lviv University of Trade and Economics
Nataliia Duliaba: Lviv Polytechnic National University
Iryna Dzhadan: National Technical University of Ukraine the “Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute”
Maryana Kohut: Lviv National Agrarian University
Denys Radov: National Economic University named after Vadym Hetman

Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 2021, vol. 5, issue 13(113), 14-25

Abstract: A theoretical-applied model has been built for analyzing industrial-technological development directly within the system of economic security. A system of indicators has been constructed that are mutually agreed in the context of the analysis of the state of economic security and components of industrial-technological development (investment, international, environmental, educational, scientific, industrial, innovative, technological). Based on the system of indicators, analysis of variance in the industrial-technological development and level of economic security was carried out. The levels of correlation of indicators (high, medium, low) have been determined, based on which the interrelations of industrial-technological development and economic security were systematized. A graphic-analytical and regression procedure was used to define the correlation dependence of industrial-technological development on economic security. The industrial-technological development has been forecasted in terms of the indicators with high correlation (the level of investment, openness of the economy, export of high-tech products, industrial products index) and medium correlation (the share of renewable energy consumption, the level of expenditures on education to GDP, the share of specialists performing scientific and technical work). The system of indicators of economic security assessment has been expanded in terms of its individual components (investment-innovative, foreign economic, energy, social, macroeconomic security), taking into consideration aspects in the industrial-technological development. Using the reported analytical and predictive results makes it possible to establish groups of factors that influence the industrial-technological development and economic security. In this way, it becomes possible to identify those tools and means whose application could ensure an increase in the level of industrial-technological development and economic security

Keywords: industrial-technological development; national economy; innovative development; economic security; multidimensional analysis; forecasting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:baq:jetart:v:5:y:2021:i:13:p:14-25

DOI: 10.15587/1729-4061.2021.243262

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