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Global | Geopolítica, geoeconomía y riesgo soberano: diferentes shocks, diferentes canales

Global | Geopolitics, geoeconomics and sovereign risk: different shocks,different channels

Bbva Research

No 26/04, Working Papers from BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department

Abstract: Geopolitical shocks reprice sovereign default risk directly; geoeconomic shocks bypass default risk and transmit through expected monetary policy and the global financial cycle. Geopolitical shocks reprice sovereign default risk directly; geoeconomic shocks bypass default risk and transmit through expected monetary policy and the global financial cycle.

Keywords: machine learning; machine learning; geopolitics; geopolitics; Politics and Geopolitics; Politics and Geopolitics; Shapley values; Shapley values; Global; Global; Big Data techniques used; Big Data techniques used; Geostrategy; Geostrategy; Working Paper; Working Paper (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C45 F51 G15 H63 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 46 pages
Date: 2026-03
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