Factors Affecting the Number of Live Children Per Woman in Egypt Using Poisson Regression Model

Mostafa Sayed Mostafa Abd – El Hameed El Misery
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Mostafa Sayed Mostafa Abd – El Hameed El Misery: Assistant professor, Department of Statistics, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt

International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, 2022, vol. 6, issue 10, 756-758

Abstract: The overall fertility rate in Egypt is to be decreased from 3.5% children per woman to 2.4% by 2030, which is one of the most significant sustainable development goals. Egypt’s overall fertility rate began to increase in 2008, peaking at 3.5 births per woman in 2014. (Ministry of Health and Population et al). The study focuses on the demographic, social, and cultural aspects that are crucial in reducing the overall number of children born to each woman. In order to identify the background factors that can contribute to a decrease in the total number of children ever born for each woman, we used the Egypt Demographic and Health Survey 2014 data [EDHS-2014]. The study provides in-depth information on Egypt’s demographic, socioeconomic variables as well as birth events. The data include 4,336 married women 15 to 49 years. The Poisson regression model is used in the paper’s analysis of the data. According to the study, the most significant characteristics that contribute to a decrease in the number of children per woman include education level attained, exposure to family planning messages, place of residence, wealth index, female employment, and contraceptive use. One of the most recommendations for this study is that the government continues its support for investments in education and improve the standard of living programs. The results show that the government has to increase the number of family planning service locations and step up its efforts to target fertility control.

Date: 2022
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