Russia-Ukraine War and beyond [WWIII]: Fixing the Missing – Engaging NATO for Negotiated Political Settlement

Tesfabrhan Michael Sereke
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Tesfabrhan Michael Sereke: MA in International Relations – International Humanitarian Action – University of Groningen [Netherlands] and UCD [Ireland] – Joint MA Degree MA in Public Policy – Korean Development Institute [KDI], Sejong, Korea Republic MA in Sociology – from Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China BA in Sociology and Social Work – University of Asmara, Asmara, Eritrea

International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, 2022, vol. 6, issue 6, 909-923

Abstract: President Vladimir Putin officially declared Russia’s long-feared invasion of Ukraine under ‘special military operation to de-militarise and de-Nazify Ukraine’ on 24 February 2022. The war has been unleashing a staggering magnitude of the humanitarian crisis in Ukraine, with potentially lasting economic and security challenge that goes beyond the belligerent countries. Seven rounds of peace talks failed, yet no hope of peace in sight, chiefly for it fails to capture the broader picture and nature of the proxies that should have engaged. The conflict’s domino effect has been pulling in numerous actors in one way or another. Hence, it could be the tipping point of our shambling global security as NATO and Russia tension soars gravely, echoing WWIII. This paper attempts to unearth and analyse the fundamental underpinning proxy nature of the war from the dissolution of the Warsaw pact, in effect, German unification, entangled to what Russia claims has traded-off to no-NATO expansion towards its flank and hence ‘broken promise’. The paper further analyses how the diplomatic and economic sanction against Russia has been crippled to alter the equation in pressuring Russia for roundtable negotiation. Delving into the arguments of the NATO-Russia standoff since post-WWII through the current development, this paper spots a potential middle ground and suggests the proxies’ – NATO-Russia engagement as the only way out for lasting negotiated pacified Settlement. The paper employs the Security dilemma perspective.

Date: 2022
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