Monetary Policy Implementation and the Economic Impact of Subnational Taxes: Evidence from Argentina

Pedro Elosegui

No 2024115, BCRA Working Paper Series from Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department

Abstract: Monetary policy implementation in a federal country requires both vertical (national and subnational governments) and horizontal (between subnational jurisdictions)institutional coordination. The optimal centralized monetary policy is blind and potentially non-heterogeneous at the subnational level. In this context, the Technical Note analyzes the economic implications resulting fromthe unconstitutionalclaim presented by the BCRA before the Supreme Court of Justice disputing the decision by some provinces of levying a provincial turnover tax on financial instruments used for monetary regulation. Subnational fiscal powers, includingtaxes applied to the financial intermediation affectedBCRA monetary policyimplementation, generating a negative externality for all the provinces. Additionally, the reaction of banking entities affectedboth the passive (interest rate on deposits) and active margins(interest rate and quantity/quality of credit), distorting monetary regulation and reducing the monetary policy rate impact on savings, credit, investment and aggregate demand. The quantitative approximation indicates that tax effectively affected the monetary policy signals implicit in the rates set by the monetary authority as well as the volume of financial intermediation.

Keywords: Argentina; Central Bank; federalism; financial system; fiscal coordination; fiscal externalities; gross revenue tax; monetary policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 E58 H71 H77 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 34 pages
Date: 2024-07
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