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Expected Utility Without Linearity: Distinguishing Between Prospect Theory and Cumulative Prospect Theory

Lasse Mononen
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Lasse Mononen: Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University

No 728, Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers from Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University

Abstract: We reconsider the foundations of expected utility without assuming the linearity of the independence axiom. We consider a decision-maker who cancels out common outcomes when comparing a pair of lotteries with the same probability tree. We show that if the decision-maker is consistent with first-order stochastic dominance or topological continuity in weak convergence, then the decision-maker is an expected utility maximizer. This offers a simple method to differentiate behavior between prospect theory, canceling out common outcomes in pairwise comparisons, and cumulative prospect theory, satisfying first-order stochastic dominance. Additionally, this offers a novel method to test technical continuity assumptions based on their behavioral content that rules out, e.g., prospect theory.

Keywords: Expected utility; branch cancellation; first-order stochastic dominance; testing axioms; prospect theory; cumulative prospect theory (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 55
Date: 2025-08-14
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mic and nep-upt
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https://pub.uni-bielefeld.de/download/3006148/3006149 First Version, 2023 (application/pdf)

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