THE CULTURE OF CORRUPTION, TAX EVASION, AND ECONOMIC GROWTH

Maksym Ivanyna, Alexandros Moumouras and Peter Rangazas

Economic Inquiry, 2016, vol. 54, issue 1, 520-542

Abstract: type="main" xml:id="ecin12228-abs-0001"> This study uses a dynamic general equilibrium model to quantify the effects of corruption and tax evasion on fiscal policy and economic growth. The model is calibrated to match estimates of tax evasion in developing countries. The calibrated model is able to generate reasonable predictions for net tax rates, the corruption associated with public investment projects, and the negative correlation between corruption and tax revenue. The presence of corruption and evasion is shown to have significant, but not large, negative effects on economic growth. The relatively moderate effects help explain the absence of a robust negative correlation between growth and corruption in cross-country data. The model also implies that cracking down on tax evasion before addressing corruption can be a bad idea and that higher wages for public officials can improve welfare. (JEL H3, O4)

Date: 2016
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