Campaign War Chests, Entry Deterrence, and Voter Rationality

Dhammika Dharmapala

Economics and Politics, 2002, vol. 14, issue 3, 325-350

Abstract: It is often claimed that the accumulation of “war chests” by incumbents deters entry by high–quality challengers in Congressional elections. This paper presents a game–theoretic analysis of the interaction between an incumbent, potential challengers, an interest group, and a representative (rational) voter, where the incumbent’s “quality” (or “legislative effectiveness”) is known to the interest group, but not to the voter or to potential challengers. Under certain conditions, a perfectly revealing equilibrium exists; the incumbent signals her quality by raising funds from the interest group to accumulate a war chest. The entry deterrence effect thus operates solely through the role of war chests in signaling incumbent quality.

Date: 2002
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