Life‐cycle greenhouse gas emissions associated with nuclear power generation in the United States

Jun Hong Clarence Ng, Pradeep Vyawahare, Pahola Thathiana Benavides, Yu Gan, Pingping Sun, Richard Boardman, Jason Marcinkoski and Amgad Elgowainy

Journal of Industrial Ecology, 2025, vol. 29, issue 3, 719-732

Abstract: Under the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act, tax credits of up to $3/kgH2 are available to hydrogen producers if they generate emissions at levels below 0.45 kgCO2e/kgH2, spurring producers to explore how hydrogen production via electrolysis using electricity generated by nuclear power may qualify for such tax credits. With uranium as a primary fuel for nuclear power plants (NPPs) and no on‐site emissions, the upstream emissions associated with nuclear fuel supply chains largely determine the carbon intensity of nuclear energy. Using the GREET (Greenhouse gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy use in Technologies) model, we evaluated the life‐cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of uranium production and the use of uranium to generate electricity in light water reactor (LWR) NPPs. We evaluated the process chemicals and energy inputs throughout the nuclear fuel supply chain to identify the major contributors to nuclear fuel cycle GHG emissions. Such emissions are estimated at 3.0 gCO2e/kWh at NPPs in the United States. The greatest share of nuclear fuel cycle GHG emissions—comprising 53% of total emissions—are associated with electricity consumption throughout the fuel supply chain. We extended the analysis to include an evaluation of the carbon intensity of H2 production via electrolysis using nuclear power from LWRs. Finally, we examined the impact of future (2035 and 2050) electricity supply chain scenarios on nuclear fuel cycle GHG emissions. Our analysis revealed a decrease of 33% (2035) and 46% (2050) in the carbon intensity of nuclear electricity relative to current nuclear fuel cycle GHG emissions.

Date: 2025
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