Globalization versus Protectionism: Consequences for Long–Term Growth and Welfare in the South

Hans Jarle Kind

The Japanese Economic Review, 2002, vol. 53, issue 3, 274-289

Abstract: This paper develops an endogenous growth model with two intrinsically symmetric regions, the North and the South. The analysis shows that globalization tends to increase long–term economic growth, but the South may become deindustrialized and suffer a welfare loss. I none the less find that protectionism need not reverse international inequalities: on the contrary, owing to locational hysteresis the South may lageven further behind. However, with continued globalization welfare in the South will unambiguously increase. JEL Classification Numbers: F12, F13, F15.

Date: 2002
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