Geography and Demography: New Economic Geography With Endogenous Fertility

Hiroshi Goto and Keiya Minamimura

The Japanese Economic Review, 2019, vol. 70, issue 4, 537-568

Abstract: To explain the links between demographics and economic integration, we construct a new economic geography model with endogenous fertility. Labour mobility across regions results in more people flowing into highly populated regions, but lowers fertility rates there. Finally, regions are divided into one very large region with a higher real wage and another small region with a lower real wage, a higher fertility rate and a supply of workers to the large region. The population growth path resembles a logistic curve in the early phase, but population decreases in the last phase. Economic integration leads to population concentration and decreases population size.

Date: 2019
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