Household Debt Overhang and Unemployment

Jason Roderick Donaldson, Giorgia Piacentino and Anjan Thakor ()

Journal of Finance, 2019, vol. 74, issue 3, 1473-1502

Abstract: We use a labor‐search model to explain why the worst employment slumps often follow expansions of household debt. We find that households protected by limited liability suffer from a household‐debt‐overhang problem that leads them to require high wages to work. Firms respond by posting high wages but few vacancies. This vacancy posting effect implies that high household debt leads to high unemployment. Even though households borrow from banks via bilaterally optimal contracts, the equilibrium level of household debt is inefficiently high due to a household‐debt externality. We analyze the role that a financial regulator can play in mitigating this externality.

Date: 2019
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https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12760

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