Police and thieves in the stadium: measuring the (multiple) effects of football matches on crime

Olivier Marie

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 2016, vol. 179, issue 1, 273-292

Abstract: type="main" xml:id="rssa12113-abs-0001">

Large sporting events affect criminal behaviour via three channels: fan concentration, self-incapacitation and police displacement. I exploit information on football matches for London teams linked to detailed recorded crime data at the area level to estimate these effects empirically. I find that only property crime increases in the communities hosting matches but not violent offences. There is a negative away game attendance effect on crime which is due to voluntary incapacitation of potential offenders attending a match. Police displacement during home games increases property crime by 7 percentage points for every extra 10000 supporters in areas that are left underprotected.

Date: 2016
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Related works:
Working Paper: Police and thieves in the stadium: measuring the (multiple) effects of football matches on crime (2011)
Working Paper: Police and Thieves in the Stadium: Measuring the (Multiple)Effects of Football Matches on Crime (2010)
Working Paper: Police and thieves in the stadium: measuring the (multiple) effects of football matches on crime (2010)
Working Paper: Police and thieves in the stadium: measuring the (multiple) effects of football matches on crime (2010)
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