Measuring fiscal spillovers in EMU and beyond: A Global VAR approach

Ansgar Belke and Thomas U. Osowski

Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2019, vol. 66, issue 1, 54-93

Abstract: This paper identifies and measures fiscal spillovers in the EU countries empirically using a global vector autoregression (GVAR) model. Our aim was to look at the sign and the absolute values of fiscal spillovers in a countrywise perspective and at the time profile (impulse response) of the impacts of fiscal shocks. We find moderate spillover effects of fiscal policy shocks originating in Germany and France. However, there is significant variation regarding the magnitude of the spillovers on individual destination countries and country clusters. Furthermore, we find some evidence that German or French fiscal spillovers are stronger on EMU than on non‐EMU countries.

Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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https://doi.org/10.1111/sjpe.12172

Related works:
Working Paper: Measuring fiscal spillovers in EMU and beyond: A Global VAR approach (2016)
Working Paper: Measuring fiscal spillovers in EMU and beyond: A global VAR approach (2016)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bla:scotjp:v:66:y:2019:i:1:p:54-93

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