Market Size and Spatial Growth—Evidence From Germany’s Post-war Population Expulsions: A Comment

Antonio Ciccone () and Jan Nimczik ()

CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series from University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany

Abstract: The scale effects that have become an integral part of growth theory imply that productivity should be increasing in population size. We use newly digitized data to estimate the relation between GDP per worker and refugee settlements in West Germany following the arrival of 8 million WWII refugees—more than 15% of the West German population in 1949. Our approach builds on the county-level analysis of the relation between GDP per capita growth and refugee settlements in Peters (2022). As we find that his estimates do not reflect the effect on GDP per capita, we also provide corrected per-capita estimates.

Keywords: Economic growth; scale effects; productivity; population shocks; immigration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O1 O4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 24
Date: 2024-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-gro, nep-his, nep-mig and nep-ure
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