La transition de la fécondité en Inde entre 1977 et 2004. Analyse des probabilités d'agrandissement

Thomas Spoorenberg and Éric Vilquin

Population (french edition), 2010, vol. 65, issue 2, 339-359

Abstract: This short paper offers an original look at the fertility transition in India through the lens of the period parity progression ratios (PPPRs). Taking advantage of nearly 300,000 birth history data collected in three nationally representative surveys (National Family Health Survey, NFHS) conducted in 1992-1993, 1998-1999 and 2005-2006, fertility changes by parity are described from 1977 to 2004. The data indicate that the decline of fertility in India over the last 25 years has been primarily caused by a reduction of third and higher-order births and that a two-child family model is therefore emerging in the country. To assess the parity-based analysis, lifetime average parities are computed and compared to independently derived total fertility estimates from the Sample Registration System (SRS). The results show that the use of the parity progression ratios in the analysis of Indian survey data yields fairly consistent fertility levels and trends in comparison with traditional total fertility estimates obtained from the SRS and that the PPPRs present thus an alternative tool to estimate the consistency and quality of total fertility estimates derived from other data sources.

Date: 2010
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.cairn.info/load_pdf.php?ID_ARTICLE=POPU_1002_0339 (application/pdf)
http://www.cairn.info/revue-population-2010-2-page-339.htm (text/html)
free

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cai:popine:popu_1002_0339

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Population (french edition) from Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Jean-Baptiste de Vathaire ().