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Conditional Distribution Specification Testing Based on Data-Dependent Partitions

Miguel A. Delgado and Julius Vainora

Cambridge Working Papers in Economics from Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge

Abstract: This article introduces a Pearson-type goodness-of-fit test for the parametric specification of conditional distribution models with continuous responses. Under correct specification, the Rosenblatt transform is uniformly distributed on [0, 1] conditionally on the explanatory variables. The test exploits this characterization by cross-classifying the transformed observations and the explanatory variables according to partitions of [0, 1] and their support, respectively. The resulting Pearson statistic has a chi-squared limiting distribution with known degrees of freedom and detects local alternatives converging to the null at the n−1/2 rate. These results remain valid for the class of data-dependent partitions considered. Monte Carlo simulations indicate accurate size control and favorable power relative to existing bootstrap-based tests, particularly in higher-dimensional settings.

Keywords: Conditional Distribution; Specification Testing; Rosenblatt Transform; Contingency Tables; Pearson Test (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C12 C52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-09-08
Note: jv429
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