Forecasting Irish Inflation: A Composite Leading Indicator

Terry Quinn and Andrew Mawdsley
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Terry Quinn: Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland
Andrew Mawdsley: Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland

No 4/RT/96, Research Technical Papers from Central Bank of Ireland

Abstract: This paper presents the results of research into the construction of a composite leading indicator of the Irish rate of inflation, as measured by the annual percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). It follows the work of Fagan and Fell (1994) who applied the business cycle leading indicator methodology, initially established by Mitchell and Burns (1938,1946), to construct a composite leading indicator of the Irish business cycle.

Pages: 23 pages
Date: 1996-06
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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