Forecasting exurban development to evaluate the influence of land-use policies on wildland and farmland conservation

Adina M. Merenlender, Colin Brooks, David Shabazian, Shengyi Gao and Robert A. Johnston

Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series from Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis

Abstract: Exurbia (rural low-density residential development) is one of the fastest growing types of land-use and can result in habitat fragmentation and loss of farmland. Local zoning restrictions and farmland protection are the most common ways of controlling low-density development in rural areas. While planners have recognized the utility of landuse change models for decision-making, most models do not effectively forecast exurban expansion. To rectify this problem, a spatially explicit model called UPlan that projects exurban development was adapted for Sonoma County California, where an estimated 27% of the people live at low densities (

Keywords: Engineering; UCD-ITS-RR-05-33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005-09-01
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