Foreseeing the Market for Hydrogen Fuel-Cell Vehicles: Stakeholders' Perspectives and Models of New Technology Diffusion

Gustavo O Collantes

Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series from Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis

Abstract: In this paper we incorporate the expert opinions of key stakeholders in the estimation of the parameters characterizing the diffusion of a new technology. We focus on the case of fuel-cell vehicles, looking at the market-share dynamics in the presence of competing vehicle technologies. We build upon previous work on the diffusion of innovations and use data obtained from a survey of stakeholders of the hydrogen policy process.

Keywords: Engineering; UCD-ITS-RR-05-27 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005-12-01
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