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Aggregating Rational Expectations Models in the Presence of Unobserved Micro Heterogeneity

Eric Jondeau and Florian Pelgrin
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Florian Pelgrin: U niversity of Lausanne

No 09-30, Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series from Swiss Finance Institute

Abstract: Our paper addresses the correction of the aggregation bias in linear rational expectations models when there is some unobserved micro-parameter heterogeneity and only macro data are available. Starting from Lewbel (1994), we propose two new consistent estimators, which rely on a flexible parametric specification of the cross-sectional parameter distributions and account for the dependence across coeffcients inherent in such models. A Monte-Carlo study reveals that the finite-sample and asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators correct the aggregation bias found with the maximum-likelihood and generalized-method-of-moments approaches. As a by-product, we can also infer the cross-sectional distribution of the parameters. Finally, we reassess the empirical evidence about the New Keynesian Phillips curve and explain the apparent discrepancy between micro- and macro-based estimates of the average persistence of inflation.

Keywords: Aggregation; Rational expectations models; Heterogeneity. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C13 C20 E20 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 57 pages
Date: 2009-08
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:chf:rpseri:rp0930

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