Deep Learning for Art Market Valuation
Jianping Mei,
Michael Moses,
Jan Wàlty and
Yucheng Yang
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Jianping Mei: Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business
Michael Moses: Art Market Consultancy
Jan Wàlty: University of Zurich
Yucheng Yang: University of Zurich; Swiss Finance Institute
No 25-110, Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series from Swiss Finance Institute
Abstract:
We study how deep learning can improve valuation in the art market by incorporating the visual content of artworks into predictive models. Using a large repeated-sales dataset from major auction houses, we benchmark classical hedonic regressions and tree-based methods against modern deep architectures, including multi-modal models that fuse tabular and image data. We find that while artist identity and prior transaction history dominate overall predictive power, visual embeddings provide a distinct and economically meaningful contribution for fresh-to-market works where historical anchors are absent. Interpretability analyses using Grad-CAM and embedding visualizations show that models attend to compositional and stylistic cues. Our findings demonstrate that multi-modal deep learning delivers significant value in precisely the situations where valuation is hardest—first-time sales—and thus offers new insights forboth academic research and practice in art market valuation.
Pages: 45 pages
Date: 2025-12
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:chf:rpseri:rp25110
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