The fiscal policy reaction to COVID-19, or the fast way out of the crisis

Petr Polak, Lubos Komarek, Iveta Polaskova and Pavla Netusilova

A chapter in CNB Global Economic Outlook - May 2020, 2020, pp 12-19 from Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department

Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic has affected the entire world economy. Few countries have escaped being paralysed directly by the illness, but the openness of economies and the close trade links between them and have resulted in serious downturns even in countries with a lower incidence of the disease. Many businesses were forced to shut down overnight, so many parts of the economy have locked up completely. Central banks have eased monetary policy to avert catastrophic effects on the economy and financial stability. Governments are introducing support measures in astronomical amounts to maintain employment and stop households and businesses going under. This article gives an overview of these measures and compares them between countries. We conclude by using two hypothetical cases - moderately (60%) and highly (90%) indebted economies - to illustrate how the pandemic shock may affect countries' fiscal positions for many years to come.

Date: 2020
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