Does Firms' Financing in Foreign Currency Matter for Monetary Policy?

Volha Audzei, Jan Bruha and Ivan Sutoris

Working Papers from Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department

Abstract: In this paper, we study domestic and foreign monetary policy transmission in a small open economy in which firms can decide to hold foreign currency loans (FCLs). In a workhorse two-country DSGE model, firms borrow in advance to cover production costs and choose the share of FCLs based on interest rate differentials and expected exchange rate movements. In this framework, we further examine how FCL holdings affect the transmission of exogenous shocks and monetary policy. The results indicate that FCLs impact the effectiveness of domestic policy depending on the shock type: they strengthen monetary policy transmission in response to domestic shocks, while weakening it in response to asymmetric foreign and exchange rate shocks. Symmetric global supply shocks reduce domestic policy efficacy, requiring higher rates to curb inflation but causing larger output losses. In contrast, global demand shocks allow for less aggressive domestic policy responses under large FCL holdings.

Keywords: Cost channel of monetary policy; dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models; foreign currency loans; small open economy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E44 E52 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-dge, nep-fdg and nep-mon
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cnb:wpaper:2025/10

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