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Heterogeneous UIPDs Across Firms: Spillovers from U.S. Monetary Policy Shocks

Miguel Acosta Henao (), María Alejandra Amado (), David Pérez Reyna () and Montserrat Martí ()
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Miguel Acosta Henao: Central Bank of Chile
María Alejandra Amado: Bank of Spain
David Pérez Reyna: Universidad de los Andes
Montserrat Martí: Central Bank of Chile

No 21387, Documentos CEDE from Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE

Abstract: This paper investigates the granular transmission of U.S. monetary policy shocks to deviations from the uncovered interest rate parity (UIPDs) in emerging economies. Using a comprehensive dataset from Chile that accounts for firm-bank relationships and the time-variant characteristics of both firms and banks, we uncover several key findings: (1) Shocks to the federal funds rate (FFR) increase banks’ costs of foreign borrowing; (2) these higher credit costs disproportionately affect small firms, raising their UIPDs more than for large firms; (3) this size-differentiated impact stems from the relatively higher interest rates on domestic currency loans faced by small firms; (4) in contrast, interest rates on dollar-denominated loans respond homogeneously across all firms; (5) we find no differential effect on loan quantities, suggesting an active role of credit supply and demand. We rationalize these findings with a small open economy model of corporate default that incorporates heterogeneous firms borrowing from domestic banks in both foreign and domestic currencies. In our model, a higher FFR reduces the marginal cost of defaulting on domestic-currency debt for small firms more than for large firms

Keywords: Uncovered interest rate parity; U.S. monetary policy; bank lending; firm financing; firm heterogeneity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E43 E44 F30 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 70 pages
Date: 2025-06-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mon and nep-sbm
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