The dynamic effects of economic disturbances over the permanent and transitory violence in Colombia

Gustavo Gomez-Sorzano

No 9492, Ensayos de Economía from Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Medellín

Abstract: The purpose of the paper is to stablish the variables that affect the dynamics of Colombian violence showing the relations encountered between them; and to state based on the econometric evidence found what could be called "The provisional foundations for a theory to explain violence cycles in Colombia~The first part is methodological; it discusses the three well known econometric approaches for modeling business cycles: the traditional approach (trend stationay), the alternative one (difference stationary), and the Beveridge and Nelson (B&N) decomposition of economic time series wich is the finally selected to obtain two types of violence for Colombia: permanent and transitory one.

Pages: 77
Date: 1998-06-30
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