Instrumental Variables and Omitted Migrant Flows: Immigration and Emigration in Peru
Orlando Ángel Díaz Rivera
UC3M Working papers. Economics from Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa
Abstract:
Instrumental variables are often used to identify the causal effect of immigration on labor market outcomes of natives. In this paper, I investigate the sensitivity of 2SLS estimators in the (common) case where a simultaneous shock occurs to the unit of interest and we do not explicitly account for it. For this purpose, I estimate the effects of both the Venezuelan immigration shock and the Peruvian emigration during the last decades on the labor market outcomes of Peruvian native stayers. Using shift-share instruments, I document positive effects of both immigration and emigration on employment rates, household income, and household expenditure (with emigration effects being about eight times larger). Reassuringly for the literature, even in a context of instruments correlated with the omitted flow the point estimates are shown to be robust to the inclusion of the omitted variable.
Date: 2025-09-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-lab and nep-mig
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cte:werepe:47870
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