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Detecting Sparse Cointegration

Jesús Gonzalo and Jean-Yves Pitarakis

UC3M Working papers. Economics from Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía

Abstract: We propose a two-step procedure for detecting sparse cointegration in high-dimensional singleequation models. First, we employ the adaptive lasso to identify the subset of integrated covariates driving the long-run equilibrium relationship. Second, we adopt an information-theoretic criterion to distinguish between stationarity and nonstationarity in the resulting residuals, avoiding reliance on asymptotic distributions. A key theoretical contribution is demonstrating that this residualbased decision rule remains consistent regardless of the internal cointegration structure among the right-hand side predictors themselves. Monte Carlo experiments confirm the procedure'srobust finite-sample performance under endogeneity, serial correlation, and rank deficiency in the regressor matrix.

Keywords: Cointegration; High; dimensional; data; Adaptive; lasso; Unit; roots (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 C52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-04-21
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ets
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cte:werepe:49894

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