What Drives International Equity Correlations? Volatility or Market Direction?

Khaled Amira and Georges Tsafack
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Abderrahim Taamouti

UC3M Working papers. Economics from Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía

Abstract: We consider impulse response functions to study the impact of both return and volatility on correlation between international equity markets. Using data on US (as the reference country), Canada, UK and France equity indices, empirical evidence shows that without taking into account the effect of return, there is an (asymmetric) effect of volatility on correlation. The volatility seems to have an impact on correlation especially during downturn periods. However, once we introduce the effect of return, the impact of volatility on correlation disappears. These observations suggest that, the relation between volatility and correlation is an association rather than a causality. The strong increase in the correlation is driven by the past of the return and the market direction rather than the volatility.

Keywords: International; equity; markets; Asymmetric; volatility; Asymmetric; correlation; Vector; autoregressive; (VAR); DCC-GARCH; Generalized; impulse; response; function; Granger; causality (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 C51 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009-06
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Journal Article: What drives international equity correlations? Volatility or market direction? (2011)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cte:werepe:we094122

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