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The Growth of Finance is Not Remarkable

James R. Brown, Gustav Martinsson and Bruce Petersen

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2023, vol. 58, issue 6, 2553-2578

Abstract: An important literature emphasizes that finance grew rapidly after WWII relative to the full economy and the services sector, but these are poor benchmarks because they mask a broad structural shift from low- to high-skill services. We show that i) finance is among the most skill-intensive service industries, ii) the evolution of the finance income share closely tracks other high-skill service industries, and iii) finance grew much slower than the rest of high-skill services in the post-WWII period. The rise of modern finance is not as remarkable as prior research suggests, providing context for debates about the size of finance.

Date: 2023
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