A monetary model of growth with limited foresight

Francesco Magris and Daria Onori

Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2026, vol. 30, e53

Abstract: We study real and monetary growth models with households endowed with limited foresight and planning only for a finite number of periods, despite being infinitely lived (myopia). In the real model, there emerges a unique Balanced Growth Path ( upper B upper G upper P BGP $BGP$ ) characterized by sub-optimal capital accumulation. However, by relaxing myopia, it converges to the upper B upper G upper P BGP $BGP$ of the economy with perfect foresight. We then prove the existence of equilibria where money, even in absence of financial frictions or liquidity constraints, is positively valued and non-neutral, in contrast to usual results in infinite horizon. Specifically, there arise two monetary upper B upper G upper P s BGPs $BGPs$ , where money is non-neutral along the first one and neutral along the second one. Eventually, we perform a global stability analysis and identify the optimal monetary policy maximizing welfare.

Date: 2026
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