Annex I. The Open Arbitrage Forecast: or Why the Dollar Must Drop

Anonymous

National Institute Economic Review, 1989, vol. 129, 38-38

Abstract: We have adopted the practice of constructing our forecasts by assuming:- (1)Exchange rates follow the open arbitrage path, with some allowance for risk factors which may change over time.(2)Our model is an adequate description of the world economy, and that the views embedded in it are shared by participants in the market.

Date: 1989
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