Industria, Comercio Exterior y Desarrollo en Argentina y Mercosur, 1976-2000

Maria-Carmen Guisan, Rodrigo Gardella (gardellarodrigo@hotmail.com) and Federico J. Lupo

Estudios Economicos de Desarrollo Internacional, 2003, vol. 3, issue 1, 45-60

Abstract: Analizamos la evolucion de la industria, el comercio exterior y el turismo en Argentina, Brasil, Paraguay y Uruguay, durante la decada 1990-2000. Se presentan modelos econometricos que muestran el importante impacto positivo que el crecimiento industrial tiene sobre el PIB, y se analiza la contribucion del comercio exterior y de los ingresos por turismo el desarrollo. Los resultados muestran que el insuficiente crecimiento del valor añadido real de la industria por habitante ha sido la principal causa del estancamiento del desarrollo economico, tanto en los paises del Mercosur como en la mayoria de los paises de Latinoamerica.

We analyse the evolution of industry, foreign trade and tourism in Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay during the decade 1990-2000, and we present some econometric models which show the important positive impact of industrial growth on Gdp. We also analyse the contribution of foreign trade of goods and tourism service to development. The results show that the low levels of increase in the real value of industry by inhabitant has been the main cause of economic development stagnation so in Mercosur as in the majority of Latin American countries.

Keywords: Mercosur; Relaciones Intersectoriales; Modelo Econometrico (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C51 O5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003
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