Valuation using multiples. How do analysts reach their conclusions?

Pablo Fernandez

No D/450, IESE Research Papers from IESE Business School

Abstract: This paper focuses on equity valuation using multiples. Our basic conclusion is that multiples nearly always have broad dispersion, which is why valuations performed using multiples may be highly debatable. We review the 14 most popular multiples and deal with the problem of using multiples for valuation: their dispersion. 1,200 multiples from 175 companies illustrate the dispersion of multiples of European utilities, English utilities, European construction companies, hotel companies, telecommunications companies, banks and Internet companies. We also show that PER, EBITDA and Profit after Tax (the most commonly used parameters for multiples) were more volatile than equity value during the period 1991-1999. We provide additional evidence of the analysts' recommendations for Spanish companies: less than 15% of the recommendations are to sell. However, multiples are useful in a second stage of the valuation: after performing the valuation using another method, a comparison with the multiples of comparable firms enables us to gauge the accuracy of the valuation and identify differences between the firm valued and the firms it is compared with.

Keywords: Dispersion of multiples; relative multiples; analyst recommendations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 G31 M21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 17 pages
Date: 2002-01-15
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-acc and nep-cfn
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)

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