Hybrid Electric Vehicles and CO2 Emission Mitigation in Tunisia: A LEAP Model Analysis

Manel Daldoul () and Ahlem Dakhlaoui ()
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Manel Daldoul: Polytechnic School of Tunisia, LEGI and Higher School of Business of Tunis, Univesity of Manouba, Tunisia
Ahlem Dakhlaoui: Polytechnic School of Tunisia, LEGI and Institute of Higher Commercial Studies of Carthage, IHEC, University of Carthage, Tunisia

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 2025, vol. 16, issue 1, 481-489

Abstract: Tunisia has embarked on an energy transition aimed at reducing its carbon emissions by 13% - 41% by 2030, with a major contribution from the energy sector. The road transport sector, the largest consumer of final energy and main emitter of CO?, is a key lever for achieving these objectives. This study assessed the environmental impacts of electric mobility and improving energy efficiency in Tunisian road transport using an approach based on the LEAP model. The methodology adopted is based on the assessment and projection of energy demand and emissions of the road fleet according to four scenarios: Business As Usual (BAU), Fleet Electrification (EV), Energy Efficiency (EE) and Sustainable Mobility (SM), over the period 2015-2050. The results show that the electrification of end uses is a key strategy for a low-carbon scenario, subject to a renewable-dominated electricity mix. Thus, Tunisia should strengthen the transition towards electric mobility and optimize the energy efficiency of the transport sector to honor its environmental and climate commitments.

Keywords: Scenario Analysis; Road Transport; LEAP Model; Energy Transition; CO2 Emissions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eco:journ2:v:16:y:2025:i:1:id:21456

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DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.21456

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