Energy Consumption, Renewable Energy Transition, and Industrial Production as Determinants of Economic Growth in Kazakhstan: An ARDL Analysis

Karlygash Tastanbekova (), Kundyz Myrzabekkyzy (), Gulnar Lukhmanova (), Zhansulu Pirmanova (), Bibigul Izatullayeva () and Daniyal Duisenbek ()
Additional contact information
Karlygash Tastanbekova: International Taraz University named after Sherkhan Murtaza, Taraz, Kazakhstan
Kundyz Myrzabekkyzy: Khoja Akhmet Yassawi International Kazakh-Turkish University, Turkestan, Kazakhstan
Gulnar Lukhmanova: Zhetysu University named after I. Zhansugurov, Taldy-Kurgan, Kazakhstan
Zhansulu Pirmanova: PhD candidate, M.Auezov South Kazakhstan University, Shymkent, Kazakhstan
Bibigul Izatullayeva: International University of Tourism and Hospitality, Turkestan, Kazakhstan
Daniyal Duisenbek: Cardiff University Kazakhstan, Astana, Kazakhstan

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 2026, vol. 16, issue 2, 268-274

Abstract: This study examines the dynamic interrelationships between energy consumption, renewable energy transition, and industrial production as key drivers of Kazakhstan's economic growth over the period 2000-2024. Drawing on annual data and econometric analysis, the research investigates both short- and long-term linkages among these variables. The findings indicate that energy consumption and industrial output exert strong positive effects on GDP, emphasizing their central role in supporting Kazakhstan's sustained economic expansion. In contrast, renewable energy consumption shows a weak and statistically insignificant effect, which reflects its relatively small share in the national energy mix but also signals untapped potential for future development. The results of diagnostic and stability tests confirm the robustness of the model, suggesting that while Kazakhstan's growth has been primarily supported by industrial activity and traditional energy sources, greater diversification toward renewables could strengthen long-term resilience and sustainability. Overall, the study highlights the need for continued industrial modernization, enhanced energy efficiency, and strategic investment in clean energy technologies to promote balanced, inclusive, and environmentally sustainable economic growth.

Keywords: Energy consumption; Renewable energy; Industrial production; Economic growth; ARDL; Kazakhstan (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/download/22550/9764 (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eco:journ2:v:16:y:2026:i:2:id:22550

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep

DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.22550

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy from International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Monica Sinhat ().