Exploring the import-export nexus at firm level using a generalized propensity score approach

Guadalupe Serrano-Domingo, Francisco Requena-Silvente, Joan Martín-Montaner and Raúl Mínguez
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Guadalupe Serrano-Domingo: Department of Economic Analysis, Faculty of Economics, University of Valencia, Avda dels Tarongers, s/n, Campus dels Tarongers, E-46022 Valencia, Spain.
Francisco Requena-Silvente: Department of Applied Economics II, Faculty of Economics, University of Valencia, Avda dels Tarongers, s/n, Campus dels Tarongers, E-46022 Valencia, Spain.
Joan Martín-Montaner: Institute of International Economics, University Jaume I of Castellón, Castellón, Spain.
Raúl Mínguez: Camara de Comercio de España and Universidad Nebrija de Madrid, Spain.

No 2516, Working Papers from Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia

Abstract: We use a dose-response function to investigate how the level of imports of intermediate inputs affects the level of exports using the universe of Spanish two- way trading manufacturers in the year 2004. First, we find a positive but non- linear import-export nexus. Second, low levels of imports don’t significantly boost exports—but as import levels reach the median range, the positive impact becomes much more pronounced. Third, the impact varies by the level of income of the country-of-origin of imports; the larger effect on total exports is linked to imports coming mainly but not exclusively from high-income countries. Finally, higher imports from high-income countries lead firms to export more to these countries relative to low-income countries while the opposite is not observed.

Keywords: Exports performance; Imports of intermediate inputs; Dose-Response function; Spanish firms (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 F14 F23 L25 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-sbm
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