Analyst rounding of EPS forecasts and stock recommendations
Henri Akono,
Khondkar Karim and
Emeka Nwaeze
Advances in accounting, 2019, vol. 44, issue C, 68-80
Abstract:
We examine the association between analysts' stock recommendations and their tendency to round annual EPS forecasts to nickel intervals (i.e. placing a zero or five in the penny location of the forecast). We find that prior to Regulation Fair Disclosure (Reg FD), analysts were more likely to provide rounded EPS forecasts in association with unfavorable (underperform and sell) recommendations. However, after Reg FD, we find no significant association between rounded forecasts and unfavorable stock recommendations. Further, other regulations (NASD 2711, NYSE 472, and Global Research Analyst Settlement) have no impact on analyst rounding behavior. The findings in this study suggest that analyst rounding behavior is a particular form of forecasting optimism motivated, at least in part, by management relations incentives. Further, Reg FD appears partially successful at curbing the influence of management relations incentives on analysts' research.
Keywords: Rounding of EPS forecasts; Stock recommendations; Management relations incentives; Regulation Fair Disclosure; Analyst experience (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G17 G30 M49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)
Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0882611017301001
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:advacc:v:44:y:2019:i:c:p:68-80
DOI: 10.1016/j.adiac.2018.10.002
Access Statistics for this article
Advances in accounting is currently edited by Dennis Caplan
More articles in Advances in accounting from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().