US-China tensions, global supply chains pressure, and global economy

Yifei Cai

Economics Letters, 2025, vol. 250, issue C

Abstract: Using a SVAR model, I examine the causal relationship between Sino-US political tensions, global supply chains pressure and global economic conditions. The impacts of structural US-China political tensions and global supply chains pressure shocks vary across different proxies of global economic conditions. It is recommended to use multiple variables to measure global economic activity for robustness checks.

Keywords: Sino-US tensions; Global supply chains pressure; World industrial production; Global real economic activity; Global economic conditions; SVAR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 E3 F51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:250:y:2025:i:c:s016517652500120x

DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112283

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