Separating the wheat from the chaff: Understanding portfolio returns in an emerging market

Nicolas A. Eterovic and Dalibor Eterovic

Emerging Markets Review, 2013, vol. 16, issue C, 145-169

Abstract: In this paper we apply Random Matrix Theory (RMT) to study daily return correlations of 83 companies that are part of the Chilean stock market during the period 2000 to 2011. We find that using RMT to identify statistically significant correlations within our sample of stocks significantly improves the efficiency of a family of Markowitz Portfolios. Moreover, by using Vector Autoregressive analysis we identify global risk aversion as the main driver of the Chilean equity market returns followed in importance by shocks to the monthly rate of inflation and the country's monetary policy rate. By studying the effects of macroeconomic variables on the constructed portfolio returns we reach a better understanding of the true risks involved in an emerging market portfolio.

Keywords: Random Matrix Theory; Portfolio optimization; Financial markets and the macroeconomy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 G10 G11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ememar:v:16:y:2013:i:c:p:145-169

DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2013.05.001

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