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A new way of measuring the WTI – Brent spread. Globalization, shock persistence and common trends

José Manuel Bravo Caro, Antonio Golpe, Jesús Iglesias and José Carlos Vides

Energy Economics, 2020, vol. 85, issue C

Abstract: The standard cointegration and the persistence of the spread of the Brent-WTI price have been widely analyzed. However, no studies have been able to present evidence of both issues jointly so far. A novel focus is presented in this paper from the application of the fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) approach, which allows the rigidity of the standard cointegration to be solved. As result of the application of the FCVAR model, we identify several degrees of globalization by analyzing the order of integration of the error correction term. Indeed, by using Permanent-Transitory decomposition analysis, we present what drives the relationship between both oil crude prices’ information. The findings shown here reveal that the Brent-WTI market is strongly globalized. Nevertheless, the Brent–WTI price spread follows a long memory process, and the Brent drives the Brent-WTI price structure. These results sustain some corollaries on economic policies for economic agents, policy makers and business operators.

Keywords: Crude oil; Brent; WTI; Fractional cointegration; Persistence; PT decomposition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 G15 Q4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (16)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:85:y:2020:i:c:s014098831930341x

DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2019.104546

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Energy Economics is currently edited by R. S. J. Tol, Beng Ang, Lance Bachmeier, Perry Sadorsky, Ugur Soytas and J. P. Weyant

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