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Do investors care about credit ratings? An analysis through the cycle

Giuliano Iannotta, Giacomo Nocera and Andrea Resti

Journal of Financial Stability, 2013, vol. 9, issue 4, 545-555

Abstract: We investigate how the credit cycle affects the link between bond spreads and credit ratings. Using a simple model of the credit assessment process, we show that when the debt market is more opaque, the information content of ratings deteriorates, creating an incentive for investors to increase the amount spent on private information. We test this hypothesis empirically. Results show that when market opaqueness (proxied by the spread between Aaa- and Baa-rated bonds) increases, the explanatory power of ratings and other control variables deteriorates as investors increasingly price in non-public information.

Keywords: Bond; Credit spread; Rating; Opaqueness (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 G15 G24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (16)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finsta:v:9:y:2013:i:4:p:545-555

DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2012.11.006

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Journal of Financial Stability is currently edited by I. Hasan, W. C. Hunter and G. G. Kaufman

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