Quantifying civilian aircraft vulnerability: A data-driven approach in geo-political conflict zones for improved risk assessment of aircraft shot-down

Stanislav Bukhman, Mario P. Brito and Ming-Chien Sung

Journal of Air Transport Management, 2024, vol. 121, issue C

Abstract: Current risk analysis methods for quantifying the risk of the shooting down of commercial aircraft rely on the use of risk matrices and risk categorisation classes. We show that these processes are not effective, subject to bias and not adequate to help aviation companies decide whether to fly to or over conflict areas.

Keywords: Risk; Aviation; Aircraft shooting down; Threat assessment; Predictive model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:121:y:2024:i:c:s096969972400139x

DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102674

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