National and Regional Economic Impacts of changes in Germany's electricity mix: A dynamic analysis through 2050

Yaghoob Jafari, Helena Engemann, Thomas Heckelei and Karlo Hainsch

Utilities Policy, 2023, vol. 82, issue C

Abstract: To meet the net zero emission target by 2045, Germany has planned to phase out coal from electricity production by 2038 and increase electricity production from alternative sources through technological advancements. We examine the impacts of related measures on CO2 emissions, electricity security, and economic output at national and regional levels using a regionalized dynamic computable general equilibrium model. Our results reveal that phasing out coal from the electricity mix reduces electricity generation and increases imports but only slightly reduces electricity supply and economic output. The reduction in CO2 emissions in Germany is significant but insufficient to reach the 2045 net zero emission target. Additional technology advancements in alternative electricity productions accompanying the phase-out may have limited effects on the supply of electricity, economic outputs, and CO2 emissions.

Keywords: Coal phase-out; Electricity mix change; Quantitative analysis; Regional economic impact (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:juipol:v:82:y:2023:i:c:s0957178723000954

DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2023.101583

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