The expansion of wheat thermal suitability of Russia in response to climate change

A. Di Paola, L. Caporaso, F. Di Paola, A. Bombelli, I. Vasenev, O.V. Nesterova, S. Castaldi and R. Valentini

Land Use Policy, 2018, vol. 78, issue C, 70-77

Abstract: The emergence of Russia as a major grain exporter is not only crucial for the world commercial agriculture and food security, but also for the country’s economy. Here we examine the past-to-future thermal suitability for winter wheat (Triticum aestivum, L. 1753) cultivation over Russia and compare it with the recent trends of wheat yields and harvested area. The analyses use a multi-model ensemble median of the most updated bias-corrected outputs from five CMIP5 Earth System Models (1950–2099) under two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) and the Era-Interim dataset (1979–2016).

Keywords: Thermal suitability; Wheat; Russia; Climate change; Adaptation strategies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:78:y:2018:i:c:p:70-77

DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.06.035

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