Stock fire sale risks and the effect of China connect

Jiangze Bian, Qilin Qin, Wenjing Song, Jun Wang and Ge Zhang

Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2025, vol. 89, issue C

Abstract: We use granular account-level data from margin trading during the 2015 stock market crash in China to compute each stock's exposure to fire sale risks during the market turmoil. When we form the treatment group of stocks with low exposures and the control group of stocks with high exposures, we find that the diff-in-diff regression using this setting generates results qualitatively similar to the regression based on treatment/control groups setting according to whether the stock was in the STOCK-CONNECT list after 2015. When we re-run the regressions to examine the effects of the introduction of STOCK-CONNECT program in a subsample of stocks with similar exposures to fire sale risks, the difference between impact of stock market liberalization on stocks tradable by foreign investors and on stocks not tradable by foreign investors become insignificant. Our empirical results provide evidence supporting the conjecture that the effects of two salient events (the introduction of the STOCK-CONNECT and the stock bubble formation and burst) mix together.

Keywords: Stock market crash risk; Stock-connect; Foreign investors; Real impact to economy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:89:y:2025:i:c:s0927538x24003433

DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102591

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