Who truly bears (bank) taxes? Evidence from only shifting statutory incidence
Gabriel Jiménez,
David Martinez-Miera and
José-Luis Peydró
Journal of Public Economics, 2024, vol. 240, issue C
Abstract:
We analyze the effects of only shifting the statutory incidence of taxes by exploiting: (i) a mortgage tax shift from being levied on borrowers to being levied on banks, without tax rate changes; (ii) some areas –for historical reasons– being tax-exempt (or having different tax rates); and (iii) administrative data. After the shift, the average mortgage rate increases, less for households with more banking opportunities or with higher income. The tax pass-through is nonexistent for high-income households, but complete for low-income households. Consistently, banks’ risk-taking increases, especially by more policy-affected banks. Results are consistent with a model in which all borrowers have tax saliency issues and differ in their bargaining power vis-à-vis the lender. Overall, the evidence is inconsistent with the irrelevance of statutory incidence and suggests unintended consequences on inequality and banks’ risk-taking.
Keywords: Tax pass-through; Tax incidence, banks; Inequality; Risk-taking; Mortgages (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E51 G21 G28 G51 H22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:pubeco:v:240:y:2024:i:c:s0047272724001099
DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2024.105173
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