Novel model for risk identification during karst excavation
Song-Shun Lin,
Shui-Long Shen,
Annan Zhou and
Ye-Shuang Xu
Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2021, vol. 209, issue C
Abstract:
This study proposes a novel fuzzy model for identifying high-risk factors during excavations in urban karst geological environments. The proposed model incorporates the interval analytic hierarchy process (I-AHP) into the technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS). The developed model considers the complex geological conditions, monitoring data, management quality, and surrounding environment. I-AHP is employed to assign the weights of the criteria, while TOPSIS is applied to identify high-risk factors. An expert confidence index is introduced to increase the reliability of the evaluated results. A case study of karst excavation at Ma'anshan Park Station on Guangzhou Metro Line 9 is analysed to validate the proposed model. The results indicate that high-risk factors can be identified in different excavation stages. The evaluated results concerning variations in risk factors can provide a guide for adopting construction measures to mitigate risk and reduce accident occurrence.
Keywords: I-AHP; Fuzzy TOPSIS; Risk identification; Expert confidence index; Karst excavation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:209:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021000077
DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107435
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