Aerodynamic robustness optimization of aeroengine fan performance based on an interpretable dynamic machine learning method

Hongzhi Cheng, Ziqing Zhang, Xingen Lu, Penghao Duan and Junqiang Zhu

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2025, vol. 254, issue PB

Abstract: Aeroengines and gas turbines are susceptible to uncertainties during manufacturing and operation, leading to reduced efficiency and dispersed performance. Current engine design system often produces deterministic performance databases that cannot be effectively used to guide the uncertainty analysis and robust design process of turbomachinery. This paper proposes an interpretable dynamic machine learning method for sensitivity analysis and robust optimization of turbomachinery blades. A dynamic extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) is trained to predict fan aerodynamic performance, and the SHapley additional explanation (SHAP) method is introduced to explain regression model behavior and identify the impact of uncertain variables. On this basis, the Lipschitz-based trust region (MAXLIPO-TR) optimization algorithm is used to obtain the optimal configuration with the best robustness performance. Finally, the method is applied to data mining for design guidelines of robustness performance enhancement of an aeroengine fan. The results show that maximum camber and tangential stacking have major effects on fan performance dispersion. The standard deviation of the isentropic efficiency, pressure ratio and mass flow rate of the optimized configuration are reduced by 42.4%, 35.6% and 22.7% respectively at design conditions. The proposed data mining method has scientific significance and industrial application value in the robust design of advanced turbomachinery.

Keywords: Aeroengines and gas turbines; Data mining; Sensitivity analysis; Explainable dynamic model; Machine Learning; Aerodynamic robustness optimization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:254:y:2025:i:pb:s0951832024007257

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2024.110654

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