Comments on generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation

Renata J. Romanowicz and Keith J. Beven

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2006, vol. 91, issue 10, 1315-1321

Abstract: The paper presents an application of the generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation methodology to the problem of estimating the uncertainty of predictions produced by environmental models. The methodology is placed in a wider context of different approaches to inverse modelling and, in particular, a comparison is made with Bayesian estimation techniques based on explicit structural assumptions about model error. Using a simple example of a rainfall-flow model, different evaluation measures and their influence on the prediction uncertainty and credibility intervals are demonstrated.

Keywords: Bayesian inference; Deterministic environmental models; Generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE); Model determination (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:91:y:2006:i:10:p:1315-1321

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2005.11.030

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